SVB: What Happened and What’s Next?
On March 11th, 2023, the headquarters of Silicon Valley Bank in Santa Clara, California, was surrounded by an alarm, following the announcement that it had failed. It was disclosed earlier that week that the bank had suffered losses from the sale of bonds due to rising interest rates and had announced its intention to sell shares to shore up its balance sheet. As a result, its stock price plummeted, and customers rushed to withdraw their money. The bank’s failure marks the biggest American bank to fail since the 2008 financial crisis, with deposits of $175 billion. The FDIC has stepped in to guarantee that customers will be able to access their funds by Monday, although the guaranteed amount per depositor is $250,000. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank has caused concern among Wall Street investors and is of particular concern to the cash-burning startups that have millions in the bank. These companies may not be able to access the funds they need to pay bills or make payroll. Ashley Trinier, the CEO of healthcare startup Farmbox RX, is among those unable to access her money and fears she could be out more than $10 million. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank, together with the recent collapse of Silvergate Bank, has prompted speculation as to whether this is the start of a new global financial crisis. The rapid increase in interest rates across the world over the last 12 months has caused concern, leading some to question whether these events are isolated incidents or the start of something more serious. Silicon Valley Bank is the second-largest banking failure in U.S history. The FDIC guarantees the return of $250,000 for all depositors, but it is unclear how much of their portfolio is uninsured. The list of largest failures in U.S history indicates how significant Silicon Valley Bank is in the general scheme of things. The events of the global financial crisis are also relevant. The collapse of banks in 2008 happened quickly, within a matter of days or weeks, and it remains to be seen how long the impact of the failure of these two banks will take to feed through into the financial system. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank is due to the fact that they had too much money. This may seem counter-intuitive, as one might expect banks to fail due to bad loans. However, both banks had invested heavily in bonds, which became less profitable due to rising interest rates. The banks were also hit by a sudden rush of withdrawals, leading to a liquidity crisis that ultimately caused their failure. We cannot deny the fact that the global economy is slowing down, which has put a lot of pressure on companies, resulting in an increase in corporate failures. This has led to a downgrade in the valuation and an increase in the risk of corporate lending, making it a big risk for all financial institutions. However, the biggest risk facing all financial institutions right now is a run on their assets. If customers suddenly get nervous and lose confidence in a particular bank, then we will see people wanting to remove their money. Virtually every bank in the world will be unable to return all of its customers’ deposits overnight because of the fact that they’ve invested that money into a variety of different loans and assets. A bank run is exactly what brought down Silicon Valley Bank, making it the second-largest banking failure in U.S. history. It had total client funds of $342 billion at the end of Q4 2022. However, because of the run on all of their assets at the time of the collapse, the assets had fallen to $209 billion. The loss of confidence in the sector is the biggest impact of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. If it was an isolated incident, it wouldn’t have any impact. However, the fact that it’s the second bank in the same week that’s failed in the USA and has links to all these tech businesses makes it significant. A lot of businesses have all of their money on deposit at Silicon Valley Bank, and they are going to lose the vast majority of that. Thousands of tech businesses that have tens of millions of dollars on deposit are now facing financial ruin, and of course, those companies are employing lots of people and have relationships with lots of other businesses. Silicon Valley Bank has relationships with other financial institutions, so there is a huge interconnectivity here. The biggest risks facing all financial institutions right now are the possibility of a run on their assets and corporate lending. All it really takes is a negative press report or a statement made by a high-profile individual naming a particular institution, and that institution will then come under pressure. As people start to withdraw their money, the snowball starts to gather pace, and that’s when that institution could find itself in a liquidity crisis and potentially facing collapse. It is important to note that many observers are stating that Silicon Valley Bank is irrelevant, they’ve never heard of it, and it won’t have any impact on the financial markets. However, Silicon Valley Bank is relevant, and it will have an impact on the global financial markets. It is the second-largest banking failure in U.S. history. The largest was Washington Mutual back in 2008 at the start of the global financial crisis, which had assets of $307 billion. Silicon Valley Bank had assets of $209 billion at the time of its collapse, making it significant when you look at the rest of the banks on the list. The next largest was Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust, which had assets of $40 billion. Fourth on the list is First Republic Bank, which had assets of $32.5 billion, and fifth was IndyMac, which had assets of $32 billion. In my opinion, the risk on corporate lending has increased due to the slowing of the global